I don't believe it's a secret that the major networks (that which was just called TV when I was young) are dying. Cable/Satellite channels and the Internet have eroded their power. The recent writer strike did them no favours either. How different are the big four from most pay tv? Apart from the FCC, nothing really.
My feeling is that the next step will be the rats abandoning the sinking ship. Within the next year, perhaps two, a network show that is still popular will come up for renewal. Rather than just accepting the renewal from it's current home, the show will shop around for a better deal and get it.
I'm kinda hoping it's 'The Simpsons' because I think that would be interesting. It's animated so it has a bit more flexibility to continue (even at this age) than a live-action programme, it has a large following (revived by the success of the movie) and its creator has already had very public problems with Fox. If Cartoon Network wanted to split Adult Swim off into its own channel, don't you think they'd want something like brand-new episodes of the Simpsons to lead the charge?
Just a thought.
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